Operational guidance on rapid risk assessment methodology

Risk assessment Technical guidance Guide

This guidance document develops a methodology for rapid risk assessments undertaken in the initial stages of an event or incident of potential public health concern. It describes an operational tool to facilitate rapid risk assessments for communicable disease incidents at both Member State and European level. The tool comprises information tables and risk-ranking algorithms to give an estimate of risk posed by a threat.

Executive summary

During the initial stages of a public health event it is crucial to rapidly assess any potential health impacts. ECDC's new technical document on risk assessment methodology offers several risk-ranking algorithms that can be easily applied to a wide range of different public health threats. In order to prove the viability of their approach, the authors of ‘Operational guidance on rapid risk assessment methodology’ apply their algorithms to four real-world examples: a listeriosis outbreak in Italy, an anthrax outbreak in Scotland, a chikungunya outbreak in Italy, and a measles outbreak in Bulgaria. An operational tool was published based on this guidance on March, 2019

New version

Publication

Operational tool on rapid risk assessment methodology - ECDC 2019

Technical report -

Rapid risk assessments (RRA) are undertaken in the initial stages of an event or incident of potential public health concern while more comprehensive risk assessments, which often include the conduct of full systematic reviews, are produced at a later stage of an event, usually when more time and information are available.